Chapter 1 Plausible reasoning
Boolean algebra
Chapter 2 Quantitative rules
product rule
sum rule
principle of indifference
Chapter 3 Sampling theory
Chapter 4 Hypothesis testing
4.1
X = prior information
H = hypothesis to be tested
D = data
P(H|X): prior probability
P(H|DX) : posterior probability
L(H) = P(D|HX)/P(D/X): likelihood, where P(D|HX) is the sampling distribution
P(H|DX) = P(H|X)P(D|HX)/P(D/X)
4.2 binary hypothesis with binary data
Weber-Fechner law: intuitive human sensations tend to be logarithmic functions of the stimulus.
sequential inference
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